Between USA and Iran

The Paradoxes of Alliance Patterns Revealed by the Gaza War

Tuesday, 24 September 2024

Abdulrasheed Alfaqih

Abdulrasheed Alfaqih

In addition to a series of truths unveiled by the Gaza War, it has clarified and eliminated ambiguity regarding two main patterns of regional and international alliances.

The first pattern is exemplified by Israel and its allies and supporters, led by the United States. America has provided all forms of military, security, intelligence, financial, political, diplomatic, and media support, repeatedly deploying its warships to defend Israel. It has activated its vast propaganda systems to serve the Israeli narrative, while political elites, both Republican and Democratic, have raced to offer various forms of support to Israel at every stage of its horrific war against the Palestinian people, endorsing its lies, fabrications, and misleading rhetoric.

The second pattern is represented by the Palestinian people and their legitimate rights supporters, primarily Hezbollah and the Islamic Republic of Iran, along with its allied factions. Their support has been limited, concealed, and publicly confined to comments and calls for action, while remaining neutral in anticipation of Israel’s encroachments on all red lines—south of the rampaging Israeli dog in the Gaza Strip and the Palestinian territories, and northward in southern Lebanon. Here, Hezbollah faces devastating blows alone, exposed to security, military, and political assaults in a battle chosen freely by Netanyahu regarding its timing and scope.

The fragmented calculations of the parties hostile to Israel in the region have provided opportunities that the rampaging Israeli dog could never have dreamed of. It has enabled Israel to isolate each of these parties individually, allowing it to freely choose the timing, scope, and sequence of its battles, maintaining control over initiative, attack, response, and defense. Had there been a unified approach on October 7, 2023, it could have narrowed the Israeli dog’s margins for initiative and options for attack, response, and defense, both within the Gaza Strip and other regions, thereby placing the Israeli war machine under multiple pressures exceeding the set limits of engagement based on Israeli needs.

Consequently, for an entire year, Israel has targeted Palestinian factions and the Palestinian people in general, exceeding all red lines and conducting qualitative operations along the front lines and beyond, outside the primary battlefield in the Gaza Strip and the occupied Palestinian territories. Were it not for the confidence of its war machine in swallowing its adversaries one by one without deterrence or response, it would not have risked any of its qualitative operations, as it is accustomed to imposing new ceilings on its adversaries deep within its red lines. Experience has shown that it will not cease its incursions as long as its opponents—be they states or formations—remain within the limits of strategic patience and repeatedly declare their right to retaliate.

Remaining in a position of waiting for the actions of the rampaging dog as a strategy to explore the extent it might go to under the pretext of preventing the outbreak of a wide-ranging regional war has proven to be a complete failure. In fact, it is paving the way for that war, but under security, military, and geopolitical conditions that ensure an absolute Israeli victory, eliminating opportunities for peace not just in Palestine, but throughout the entire region.

Allowing the Palestinians to face the Israeli war machine will multiply the enormous costs that the region, its communities, governments, and states will have to bear without exception.

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